Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 2.885142 3.398353 3.945118 4.567811 5.254149 5.984512 6.817413
2025-01-12 2.101311 2.794250 3.590136 4.558001 5.689492 6.957453 8.472645
2025-01-19 1.527183 2.294699 3.242864 4.466790 5.971983 7.731780 9.913509
2025-01-26 1.188404 2.004010 3.080582 4.543230 6.418106 8.684433 11.573909
2025-02-02 0.938872 1.774103 2.948277 4.618953 6.838771 9.598159 13.197677
2025-02-09 0.695472 1.496315 2.702681 4.503727 6.984366 10.152945 14.377025
2025-02-16 0.512120 1.265631 2.483799 4.389253 7.103219 10.656360 15.485340
2025-02-23 0.395969 1.118131 2.364080 4.394144 7.368750 11.343103 16.829518
2025-03-02 0.291040 0.959943 2.200566 4.311115 7.494765 11.835862 17.921362
2025-03-09 0.246012 0.911742 2.212280 4.491355 7.996559 12.840297 19.698234
2025-03-16 0.187321 0.812335 2.117843 4.491147 8.227740 13.473629 20.988047
2025-03-23 0.162973 0.790073 2.160817 4.713215 8.792349 14.576514 22.922392
2025-03-30 0.137040 0.756457 2.181050 4.903647 9.324660 15.659717 24.870055
2025-04-06 0.106858 0.696991 2.141410 4.988004 9.696308 16.524298 26.536825
2025-04-13 0.074303 0.609624 2.029200 4.934686 9.847941 17.074808 27.779249
2025-04-20 0.057071 0.567088 2.006563 5.037015 10.244827 17.983226 29.527496
2025-04-27 0.042909 0.526150 1.980186 5.127866 10.622335 18.866639 31.249456
2025-05-04 0.025557 0.447481 1.848514 5.008518 10.649769 19.232005 32.245913
2025-05-11 0.013881 0.377970 1.723116 4.887439 10.664238 19.572454 33.206212
2025-05-18 0.008141 0.337421 1.665346 4.893629 10.888612 20.227808 34.619985
2025-05-25 0.003603 0.286801 1.565982 4.804702 10.944030 20.624492 35.664254
2025-06-01 0.002546 0.281091 1.601029 4.998834 11.493021 21.782270 37.819106
2025-06-08 0.001019 0.249687 1.547523 4.998704 11.700503 22.416475 39.220330